Thoughtful investment memos from William Digby. A periodic snapshot of what happened, what may happen, or other interesting marketplace musings for intelligent investors globally. Weekly, since 2012.

The liberation of the fixed asset.
William Digby William Digby

The liberation of the fixed asset.

All marketplaces are all unique. But all successful marketplaces are unique in the same way: they liberate an inefficiently used fixed asset.

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The most dangerous idea in finance.
William Digby William Digby

The most dangerous idea in finance.

There is an idea in finance so simple, so intuitive, that its destructive power is not immediately obvious and often goes unnoticed - it may be the most dangerous concept in finance for investors.

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The Desert Fox.
William Digby William Digby

The Desert Fox.

The general Erwin Rommel, popularly known as the Desert Fox and known only (probably) to his mum by his birth name little Eugen, was about as distinguished as generals come during WWII. Best known as a tank commander, Rommel was both a great military strategist, and a master tactician. A key to his success was being able to identify the difference between a risk, and a gamble.

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Kernel Bezos.
William Digby William Digby

Kernel Bezos.

Money is made at chokepoints, and the most valuable chokepoints are operating systems; Amazon has built exactly that with Alexa.

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Abundance makes me poor.
William Digby William Digby

Abundance makes me poor.

Reality could be described as a series of limitations on every living thing, the final boundary being death. In other words, we have only so much energy to expend before we tire; only so much in the way of food and resources available to us; our skills and capacities can go only so far - these things are inherently finite.

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A tale of two investors.
William Digby William Digby

A tale of two investors.

Hana Masako’s life was unremarkable. She was an orphan, never married and had no children. After her final year of high school, she began working as a personal assistant – a role she kept for over 50 years. In life, Hana revealed little to the world; but her death uncovered something extraordinary.

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Stradiwhovius?
William Digby William Digby

Stradiwhovius?

A man stood in Glenmont metro station. For a few moments he exhaled into his hands, each a closed fist, and then proceed to take up a violin and fill the Washington DC terminal with the sounds of Bach – half a dozen pieces in total.

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The tail that wags the dog.
William Digby William Digby

The tail that wags the dog.

By the end of the 1930’s, Walt Disney’s humble studio had sketched over 400 cartoons – most of them adored by their viewers, and most of them losing money. Disney had been bankrupted before, and with the incredibly high cost of cartoon production and onerous finance available at the time, a second and tectonic failure looked certain.

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Mega Million maniacs.
William Digby William Digby

Mega Million maniacs.

“Mansions and yachts, as long as a city blocks.” This is my favourite quote from one of the Mega Millions jackpot winners when asked about what the spoils were going to be spent on. The US$1.5bn draw recently won by an anonymous South Carolinian is basically the biggest win ever of its kind, and at one point in the lead up, some US states were selling up to 600 lottery tickets per second.

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The Great Devourer.
William Digby William Digby

The Great Devourer.

Could Satoshi Nakamoto have conceived – in his wildest of dreams – that a nine-page manifesto, “The Bitcoin” was going to make him (or her – Satoshi’s true identity is yet to be revealed) a multi-billionaire and kick-off an unconscionable energy-swallowing behemoth.

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Something wicked this way comes.
William Digby William Digby

Something wicked this way comes.

February 5th of this year was a miserable day for some. Anyone long the XIV (otherwise known as the VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Short Term ETN) would have had the unpleasant experience of watching their capital evaporate following a spectacular after-hours selloff.

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Satoshi Specials.
William Digby William Digby

Satoshi Specials.

While bitcoin has lost two-thirds of its value since its December zenith, fervour for the tempestuous little digital nuggets remains strong; at least according to volumes traded on Singapore-based exchange BitForex, which regularly sees daily transaction volumes above US$5 billion. Five-billon! That’s a figure approaching the average turnover of all trades on the London Stock Exchange.

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Troubled Americas.
William Digby William Digby

Troubled Americas.

As gathering financial storm clouds roil currencies, credit and equities in the formerly-designated “third world”, a trio of Latin American countries will confront the prospect of major political change in coming months.

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Red sky at morning, investors take warning.
William Digby William Digby

Red sky at morning, investors take warning.

Calamitous (a more than commonly plain and unmistakable reminder that the affairs of this life are not of our own ordering) is probably too strong a word for the peer-to-peer lending sector in China – but not far off. The summer has been particularly gruelling for peer-to-peer lending companies in China. The Peterson Institute recently reported that total outstanding loans in the industry collapsed to less than RMB 1 trillion in July from 1.3 trillion a month before, and many lending platforms have run into serious trouble since the beginning of June.

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“Funding secured.”
William Digby William Digby

“Funding secured.”

Two words that generally usher in equal parts relief and celebration – with that utterance, Elon Musk brought his purported plan to take Tesla private to a new level.

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The Church of Tesla.
William Digby William Digby

The Church of Tesla.

L. Ron Hubbard once quipped (before he founded the church of Scientology) that ‘if a man wants to make a million dollars, the best way would be to start his own religion.’ Tesla is most definitely not registered as a 501(c), but if it was it might explain some things – or at least make it easier to understand.

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